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Today’s MLB DFS Playbook: Lineup picks, tips for Monday
SP Chris Archer, Twins (@ A’s). Archer has a short leash, which caps his upside, but he has pitched pretty well this year and averaged just about a strikeout per inning. Most important, he takes on Oakland tonight. The A’s are 28th in runs per game with a lousy average of 3.3 and they have the sixth-highest strikeout rate in baseball this season.
SP Wade Miley, Cubs (vs. Pirates). Miley will be making his second start of the season, and while I don’t love him or think he has massive upside by any means, he’s just $4,400 on DK and $26 on Yahoo, which makes him an incredibly cheap SP2. Pittsburgh is 27th in runs per game this year, and it has the ninth-highest strikeout rate.
C Yan Gomes, Cubs (vs. Pirates). Gomes has a career slash line of .280/.332/.485 against lefties compared to .232/.283/.393 against righties. He is very cheap and has a great matchup against a bad lefty in Dillon Peters.
1B Brandon Belt, Giants (@ Rockies). Belt is having a very solid season, hitting .253 with four home runs, a steal, and 13 runs through 23 games played. He heads to Coors Field tonight and has been strong in his head-to-head vs. Antonio Senzatela, going 10-for-23 (.435).
2B Tommy La Stella, Giants (@ Rockies). The easiest most no-brainer play of the day is La Stella. He is near the minimum price, playing in Coors Field, and expected to make his season debut tonight. He has hit .310 with two dingers and seven RBIs in nine rehab games.
3B Yoan Moncada, White Sox (@ Royals). Moncada has been great since returning from the IL, averaging 10.4 DK points per game through five games and has already swatted a pair of long balls. He has been solid in this matchup, as well, going 9-for-35 (.257) with a pair of dingers against Brad Keller.
SS Trea Turner, Dodgers (vs. Diamondbacks). Turner’s splits are pretty much dead even so far this season, but last season he crushed southpaws, slashing .392/.437/.712 against them. He has only one hit in six at-bats against Madison Bumgarner, but it was a home run.
OF Byron Buxton, Twins (@ A’s). Buxton has homered in back-to-back games and is now hitting .272 with 11 home runs, a steal, and 20 runs through 22 games played. That is an average of one home run per two games, which is absurd.
MORE PICKS: SP Yusei Kikuchi, Blue Jays (vs. Mariners); C Will Smith, Dodgers (vs. Diamondbacks); 1B Michael Chavis, Pirates (@ Cubs); 2B Tony Kemp, A’s (vs. Twins); 3B Bobby Witt Jr., Royals (vs. White Sox); SS Royce Lewis, Twins (@ A’s); OF Mike Trout, Angels (@ Rangers)
For even more picks, plus full analysis and strategy advice, subscribe and check out Fantasy Alarm’s full MLB DFS Playbook for Monday’s slate!
title: “Today S Mlb Dfs Playbook Lineup Picks Value Sleepers For Monday S Daily Fantasy Baseball Contests On Fanduel Draftkings Yahoo” ShowToc: true date: “2022-12-16” author: “Charles Brinkhaus”
This is a preview of Fantasy Alarm’s MLB DFS Playbook. To see the full Playbook, as well as get access to Fantasy Alarm’s full suite of DFS tools, including a lineup generator, ownership and stat projections, value plays, and much more, become a subscriber!
DOMINATE YOUR DFS CONTESTS: Join DFS Alarm from Fantasy Alarm
Today’s MLB DFS Playbook: Lineup picks, tips for Monday
Miles Mikolas, SP, Cardinals (vs. Mets). Mikolas is sneak GPP play today. He is stretched out (91 pitches his past two starts) and has allowed only one run over his past two starts with a total of 12 strikeouts (almost a K per inning). With a 1.76 ERA, 1.04 WHIP, and 13:3 K:BB rate on the season, Mikolas should be a low-owned play on all sites.
Kyle Gibson, SP, Phillies (vs. Rockies). The Rockies are striking out over 30 percent of the time with a .140 batting average and .176 ISO against righties. Enter a cheap Gibson and his 2.87 SIERA and 9.68 K/9. Gibson may be a popular cash play tonight on DK due to his price and matchup, but anyone who has played MLB DFS long enough knows that he can go off the rails at any time, so this is a ‘boom-or-bust" GPP pay for me.
Austin Hedges, C, Guardians (@ Angels). Hedges is starting to hit a bit (.330 BA over the past week with a home run on Saturday). In four at-bats against Michael Lorenzen, Hedges has three hits, which isn’t much of a sample size but still good enough to put him in play as a minimum-priced GPP dart.
Max Muncy, 1B, Dodgers (@ Diamondbacks). I like Merrill Kelly as a low-owned GPP play, but you can’t deny these Dodger BVPs. Muncy is 8-for-18 (.444) off him with a .259 ISO against righthanders. He is slumping with a .100 average over the past week, but he’s too good of a hitter to keep down for this long.
Cavan Biggio, 2B, Blue Jays (vs. Red Sox). Ray Kuhn highlighted Biggio in his Daily Alarm Value Vault article this morning. He noted that Biggio has been terrible all season but does have two things going for him tonight: Platoon advantage over Nathan Eovaldi and nice BVP split of two home runs in just eight at-bats. He might be worth a GPP dart at stone minimum price. Biggio is also a punt play on FD at 3B.
Alex Bregman, 3B, Astros (@ Rangers). Bregman is at near-elite advanced metrics to start the season: .235 ISO and .406 wOBA with a 176 wRC+. Tonight, he gets a smash matchup against Dane Dunning, who is allowing 43.5-percent hard contact and has given up 17 hits in his three starts. Bregman also has three straight double-digit fantasy-point games, yet DK has dropped his price lower every day.
Mike Brosseau, SS, Brewers (vs. Giants). I have always been a Brosseau fan. He is multi-position eligible and can handle the bat a bit with a .208 ISO and hard-contact/fly-ball rates both over 40 percent against lefties. Sam Long comes in with an xFIP of 5.29 and gets rocked by hard contact. Brosseau is a sneaky minimum-priced punt.
Mike Trout, OF, Angels (vs. Guardians). Trout is my favorite pay-up on FD since the Phillies game is not on that slate. I am seeing Shohei Ohtani with much higher ownership projections at the moment, so why not slide over to Trout? He’s been vintage Mike Trout lately with a .500 average, .500 ISO, and .641 wOBA the past week. Shane Bieber is no pushover, but Trout is as matchup-proof as they come.
MORE PICKS: SP Corbin Burnes, Brewers (vs. Giants); C J.T. Realmuto, Phillies (vs. Rockies); 1B Yuli Gurriel, Astros (@ Rangers); 2B Jeff McNeil, Mets (@ Cardinals); 3B Matt Chapman, Blue Jays (vs. Red Sox); SS Jeremy Pena, Astros (@ Rangers); OF Cody Bellinger, Dodgers (@ Diamondbacks)
For even more picks, plus full analysis and strategy advice, subscribe and check out Fantasy Alarm’s full MLB DFS Playbook for Monday’s slate!
